What is fhg in betting?

What does FHG mean? level 2. The latest Tweets from FHG Betting (@H2H_Betting). Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Double Chance: Occasionally, bookmakers may reduce the 3 outcomes for a football match to 2, by what is known as 'Double Chance' betting, where a single.

Betting & trading on the first half goals markets has really boomed over the last few years. More and more punters pointing their attention to bet on goals in the first half, and maybe this market could be the one to suit your betting or trading style. There are multiple ways of betting & trading on first half goals markets. I will try to present a few of the most popular ones and show you a few different angles and many great tools to save you masses of time whilst doing every day research and analysis.

When it comes to goals markets in the first half, there are a few choices offered by most of the bookies. The ones that you use will depend on your FHG strategy and betting/trading style. Here are the ones that are used the most:

This market is the most popular one with punters and traders alike. The 0.5 first half goals line means that when betting overs, you need only 1 goal to be scored in the first half to win your bet. It’s relatively easy to pick matches with at least one goal at HT and that’s part of the attraction of this market. On the other hand, with the high probabilities of games finishing in over 0.5 FHG, there are pretty poor odds available before the events begin. They will differ from competition to competition though. Some very high goal-scoring leagues will see odds for over 0.5 FHG around 1.15-1.2, whilst other goal shy leagues will see the same outcomes offered at odds of 1.3-1.5.

If you look closely at the example below, you will see that the price differences can be very significant for the very same match across all bookmakers. E.g. highest offered odds are 1.33, whilst the lowest odds are 1.22! Assume you place £100 bet @ 1.22 and when it wins it returns £22 profit. The same bet will return you £33 profit (£11 more!) at a different bookie. It makes a massive difference to your long term/profit figures.

Just a few words about the bookies’ overrounds on this market. They usually set their profit margins at around 6-8%, however, these often will get smaller during in-play whilst the bigger Asian bookies offer their AH 0.5 lines after 20 minutes or so when still 0-0.

The o/u 0.5 first half goals markets are often used by casual punters in their fun multiple matches accumulators. They are also very popular with more advanced traders for their in-play bets & trades. We will cover some ideas later on in this article.

The first half goals Asian handicap lines are used mostly by more experienced punters. They are mostly offered by bigger/serious bookmakers (such as many Asian bookmakers, accepting winning players and offering higher limits with small overrounds between 2-5%).

The Over 1 AH FHG line means that when there is exactly 1 goal at the half-time, your bet will be void and you will receive your stake back. More or fewer goals than 1 will win your over/under bets respectively.

The 1.5 FHG lines are slightly tricker to predict. The over bets need 2 or more goals to be scored before the HT and are usually offered at odds way above 2. On the other hand, the under 1.5 goals selections will win with 0 or 1 goals at HT but are available at lower odds.

When it comes to the bookmakers offering these markets it as a mixed bag of soft bookies (with high margin profits) and big Asian bookies (with lower overrounds and decent limits). It’s certainly a market with plenty of possibilities to build a solid system or strategy on. It is also popular with traders for over 1.5 FHG methods, as these odds tend to rise very rapidly once the match starts and there are no goals.

Most of the proper bookmakers will aim to offer you an even money line for the first half goals. These can be anything in between the lines that we covered above and will often offer the quarter lines such as 1.25, 0.75, 1.75 etc. You won’t see casual and mug punters ever considering these markets.

In this case, we have 1.25 first half Asian handicap goals line. That means that half of your bet will be placed on over 1 AH goals and the other half will be placed on 1.5 line. Depending on the under/over result, you can: win, lose or void your stakes.

Again, these quarter AH markets offer low bookies’ profit margins and decent limits, hence are popular with professional bettors and traders.

Here are a few ideas used by punters and traders on the FHG markets:

Accas and coupons rely on combining a few strong over 0.5 FHG pre-match selections into bigger odds bets. These are used mostly as fun bets by casual and mug punters placing their weekend coupons whilst watching some football.

The purpose of these methods is to find well-fancied selections that are lucky to still be goalless after a certain time interval.

One of the most popular in-play bets is to wait until the 0.5 FHG odds reach odds of around 2.00 and place a bet then. It’s the double your money or nothing scenario. It works well with many different analysis systems and only needs one goal to win the bet.

Similar to the above strategy, but the available odds are usually well above 3.00. There is only 10 minutes + any added time left though, but it’s perfect timing for those late first half goals.

These methods use the same logic to the ones above. You let the game start and the over 1.5 first half goals odds to drift a little to around 3 or 4. A goal soon after you enter your trade will cause a very steep drop in the price and opportunity to hedge (cash out your trade). On the other hand, if there are no goals in the next several minutes you may wish to cut your losses (take a smaller loss) and move on. There are many trading scenarios and possibilities to execute this kind of trading.

For this strategy, you will need to back Under 0.5 FHG at the start of the match or choose another right moment (when watching a dull game of football). As the game progresses and there are no signs of goals, the under 0.5 first half goals will start steaming quite quickly. So if you are anticipating a match to have a slow start, with both teams showing each other plenty of respect and not having many goalscoring opportunities, you may be able to get in for 5, 10 or 15 minutes and get out with a profit. Back under 0.5 FHG and lay it a few minutes later (cash out for an equal profit on both outcomes). Just remember that a goal in the time when you back 0.5 FHG will mean that you lose your whole stake. Therefore your staking and entry/exit points must be spot on and you must accommodate for those circumstances.

This method is used by professionals and relies on getting on the early lines and odds. They require a lot of experience in modelling and predicting accurate first half goals lines and finding value bet opportunities. For example, if you can bet on over 1.25 FHG at even money and see the line moving to 1.5 or 1.75 FHG before the match starts, you will beat the closing line and have gained an edge. In such circumstances, it’s possible to hedge your bets for a profit before the match starts.

On the other hand, you can be betting against the market and finding your profit pockets in those narrow Asian handicap lines. It takes a lot of experience to be able to do so effectively.

No matter what FHG systems, methods or strategies you use, your results will depend on your preparation. By saying so I mean your first half goals research and analysis. There are many great tools and resources that will save you plenty of time and make the whole process easier. In the sections below, you will find a few of the most popular ways of finding the best first half goals tips, predictions and selections.

Past matches statistics in football are one of the most popular ways of analyzing matches and predict future outcomes in football betting and trading. They are often the starting point to find the best tips for many tipsters and punters alike.

There are 4 main types of stats that are used for analysis:

One may decide to look at all past matches, analyze home matches of the local team and away games of the visitor team. There are various stats portals and services offering football and soccer statistics. Make sure that you know what matches are included in the calculated % stats e.g. whether they are based on league matches only or cover all past matches (cups/friendlies etc.). It’s important to use the most relevant football statistics and with as little errors as possible.

At BetTheBuilder.com we include both AC and SC stats. All competitions statistics are calculated from all past matches including league and cup competitions. They don’t include friendly matches. The Single competitions stats are based on single competitions only.

There is a range of stats and averages calculated for various first half goals markets. The Total Under/Over lines are based on combined FHG (home or away team scoring), whilst the Team Under/Over lines are relevant to the named teams only (e.g. Home many times the home team scored over 0.5 FHG goals etc.).

The colour formatting (green and red shades) will quickly identify outstanding statistics (good and poor respectively).

Please note the difference in the AC and SC stats. E.g. for the AC stats, both teams have a combined 14/20 over 0.5 goals matches, whilst the SC stats show 13/20 with the away team having 2 less in the Veikkausliiga than they had in all competitions.

These Head to head first half goals stats are calculated from the last 8 matches in all competitions for any given 2 teams. The handy averages stats will help you to determine who was on top in those encounters.

If you wish to view all first half goals stats in one place and have them sorted by the highest % stats, we recommend you go to GoalsCornersCards and check out their FHG lists. The stats provided on that page/app are sorted by the AVG of 6 medium and short term statistics. They also include H2H stats and handy filters.

The first half goals – money trends take the FHG stats to another level. They calculate how profitable or not were the teams whilst betting on the first half goals in their last 20 matches. In fact, we also provide stats for their performance at home for home teams and away for the away teams (last 20 for each of them).

The tables with the FHG trends are sorted by the highest profit/loss figures for the home teams. There are colour filters for both home teams (shades of green) and away teams (shades of red) to highlight the outstanding profitable figures. These will help you identify the strongest money trends teams in a matter of seconds. Furthermore, you can click on the APL header (Away Profit/Loss) in order to sort the data by that column.

In many cases, the money trends will reflect the ordinary stats i.e. by highlighting good performing teams with very low HTO (Home True Odds) and ATO (Away True Odds). We can quickly compare them with their past average odds (HAO and AAO) and current Odds (O).

Let’s look at the following example from our First Half Goals Money Trends feature:

If you were betting 10 points on each of the Santos Laguna’s last 20 matches to have a first-half goal scored, your profit would have been 52.4 units (26.2% ROI). The average FHG odds in those games was around 1.33 (HAO) and their performance (19/20 FHG matches) represents the 1.05 true odds value (HTO).

Santos’ opponents – Guadalajara has also generated a profit in their last 20 matches (28.6 units to 10 unit stakes). Considering the available odds of 1.36, it looks like a half-decent selection which can be used for various first half betting and trading strategies.

The next load of FHG money trends is calculated for home teams – home matches and away teams – away matches. The colour formatting is highlighting our pick that we analyzed above – Guadalajara (APL of 46.4 units). This means that Guadalajara has been a profitable selection for FHG whilst playing away and it only backs our previous analysis and adds reasoning for backing the first half goal (over 0.5 first half goals) in their away game against Santos Laguna.

The FHG money trends can also save you some money by identifying some poor value bets. Let’s assume you see a good bet recommended by a popular tipster, who reckons that there will be a goal in the first half in Barcelona’s match. It may make sense, as Barcelona score plenty of goals and have all the TOP players and a massive following around the globe. People will bet goals and expect goals. Do you think that they will be profitable in the long term? Do you want a share of this public bet? How can you quickly determine whether this bet recommendation is a good value pick? Does your first half goals strategy take that into consideration?

It may take you a while to gather all the past odds and scores to calculate the profit/loss figures for both Barcelona and their next opponent. An easier way would be to use a ready solution – the FHG money trends.

At the time of writing this article, Barcelona are on their summer break, so I will give you another example of a poor value team pick. Have a look at the Gold Coast United record for their last 20 matches in the FHG market (over 0.5 FHG). Their average odds were around 1.16 in the very goal minded Australian NPL Queensland’s league. They managed to achieve that outcome in only 15/20 matches. This gives a better odds estimate of around 1.33.

You can use this little analysis for any match and team. Filter the matches by country, competition, home and away teams as well as odds and profit/loss figures.

Some punters build their first half goals strategy based on the FHG averages. If you like to find the fixtures with the highest and lowest first half goals averages in seconds, this resource is perfect. You can sort by the average goals at home, away, all and in the Head To Head meetings. It’s particularly useful for building FHG systems for Asian lines and Over/Under 1.5 First Half Goals markets.

The Goals Times trends are another way punters can build their first half goals systems and strategies around. It takes a good resource to find all the relevant stats for goals scoring and conceding times intervals stats.

Certain teams specialize in strong starts to their matches – i.e. scoring fast goals. Some teams tend to concede a quick goal. There are teams with habits of scoring or conceding a goal just before the half time. Could you quickly identify such teams? If you did, you could build a first half goals strategy around it. For example, backing early goals, dutching goals in 15 minutes intervals, backing higher goals lines for trading and laying under goals markets later in the first half.

The goals scoring & conceding times intervals trends feature displays % distribution of goals scored and conceded in 15 minutes time intervals

HS_1_15 (Home Scoring in 1-15 min interval) – represents % of goals scored in the 1-15 minutes interval by the home team.

So for example, Coritiba scored 33% of all of their goals in the first 15 minutes of their matches. The numbers are based on their last 16 matches in Paranaense 1 in Brazil this season. Similarly, their opponents have also scored 33% of their goals in that time interval.

HC_1_15 and AC_1_15 stand for goals conceded percentages.

These trends give a better image of teams goals scoring and conceding distribution in the second half of the season or at least after a few matches. We can filter the fixtures for teams that played a minimum of 10 matches. In order to do so, we type in H# from 10.

Al Fateh is the team with the biggest % of their scored goals in the last 15 minutes of the first half. Similarly, we have some interesting stats for Frei Paulistano in lower Brazilian competition, where they scored and conceded most of their goals in that time interval.

These kinds of statistics can be handy when betting & trading late first half goals when the time for goals is running out and odds are rising very quickly.

This approach is slightly different from the ones described above. Following the money or in other words following the selections with dropping odds is another way of picking selections. The shortening price indicates money coming in and punters backing certain outcomes. Those odds movements may occur at different stages before the start of the match:

We can recommend a fantastic tool which monitors the overnight odds movements for under/over 0.5 and 1.5 first half goals markets.

Following the dropping odds tips may sound to many as a daft idea as the odds have already moved and you are about to bet at worse odds. It will, of course, make a difference to your profit/loss figures as you won’t be getting the early good odds. But you may find you are getting enough edge if you still manage to beat the bookies’ closing odds. In other words, if odds moved overnight and you open your positions in the morning, you may still get better odds and decent value than someone betting closer to the KO at an even shorter price.

There is a lot more to learn about the dropping odds betting and trading and I won’t go into too much detail here. However, it must be mentioned to avoid following the public bets and big drops caused by the fans money on the most popular teams such as FC Barcelona (see the 3rd match on the screenshot above).

You will find plenty of services offering first half goals tips all over the internet. These are our first half goals predictions based on our statistical models and we always encourage you to take them further and add bits of qualitative analysis to make them more profitable.

Whether you watch a match live or follow the in-play stats, it often somehow comes easy to make such bold statements:

What is even better – as the game progresses, the odds for goals get bigger and bigger, so it’s more tempting to get involved.

One of the most popular in-play betting strategies is based on the 0-0 scoreline and encouraging in-play, the likes of:

So if the game is still 0-0 after 15, 20, 30 minutes but the in-play stats look like the match is very lively, it’s often a good opportunity to back a first half goal (over 0.5 goals) at significantly higher odds than the pre-kick-off prices.

If you like following live football matches and trying to find the most intense games (e.g. matches that are still 0-0) for your strategies, you may like our Game Intensity Scanner. It uses our unique live stats algorithms and comes up with the last 10 minutes GI (game intensity) figures for both teams. It refreshes every 30 seconds or so and displays the most lively matches in terms of attacks, shots etc. at the top:

It comes with a few useful tools such as pre-match and current live odds, league tables, recent form and … goals times trends:

Does it get any better? Yes. If you don’t have all the time in the world to sit down and watch the footy, scores and stats in peace, then you can use live notifications systems such as LiveBuilder and get notified whenever your match meets your criteria or there is a strong in-play FHG selection from one of our live over first half goals systems.

The example above shows an alert that was sent to a personal Telegram account after the 26th minute of the SPorting Braga vs Belenenses match when the score was still 0-0. At that time, the odds for over 0.5 first half goals were around 1.93 and the Home GI figure was red 61, which meant that Sporting Braga was all over Belenenses and a goal was very likely to go in soon.

For the selected period I had 105 selections, where 47 (45%) were missed due to the goal scored before odds (GBO) were reached.

My strike rate for those 58 bets was 56,9%, which is equal to 1,76 if we convert it to implied odds. That is very good results, but a small sample size, so I`m expecting that correction will come when more games would be played. As it is set & forget system my avg win will be always 0,98, which in a nutshell gives me an edge long term, as it is above the current 0,76 metric.

The longest losing streak was 4 bets, which is less than expected. Please do not freak out if you notice in my selections 7 or 8 losing bets in a row in the future, it is just math and it is calculated over a large sample of data. If the strike rate is about 50% (implied odds 2) you can expect a losing run of 13 within 5000 samples.

13% ROI is great, but do not go overexcited as the correction will come. if you add all current values to the risk of ruin calculator it will show long-term positive outcomes. The main aim of this Coin flipping method is to be right more often than wrong

People have habits of changing things if they do not go according to their winning plan. The main reason is that they do not understand the key factor – math as the whole betting/trading industry is part of it.

All my selections (over 350 games including stats in my previous post) since January show positive outcomes long term. Last month I have decided to make it more simple, as I was expecting similar/a bit better results. Current statistics show that it was a good choice.

Time is money, and this case makes it true. I do not need to spend time during the day and follow my selections. I can place all of them in advance, and check the results at the end of the day. There are many trading systems that require you to be more engaged, but FHG in my opinion does not need to be the one. Make it simple, and believe in probability.

pemean ♦ June 8, 2014 ♦ Leave a comment

The service was re-branded as one whole product with some adjustments on 1/1/15 to;

1. FHG; This is laying 0-0 in the Half Time Score market.

If you are unable to be matched straight away then you need to put a lay order in at the price listed in the selection email (making sure that the “Keep” option is highlighted).

For selections with a lay price above 4.00 put in a lay order of 4.00– it won’t take long to be matched in- play.

Conservative traders can opt to LTD in the “Half Time” market instead if they wish at a lower price, however don’t forget that this will mean having to trade out after a goal as a first half equaliser would leave you back in a loss position.

2. SHG; This strategy lays the current Correct Score at half time.

Matches which are level at HT do not qualify for this strategy.

Either team must be leading at the break with either a one or two goal advantage (HT scorelines of 3-0/0-3/4-1 etc do not qualify for this strategy).The maximum HT lay price is 6.0.

If the HT lay price is 5.0 or below then you can lay immediately, if it is between 5.1-6.0 then put a lay order in at 5.0 and you will be matched quickly in the second half.

Any HT lay price above 6.0 and the game should be discarded. That’s it! If the above criteria is met then you just wait for the goal.

Early detailed monthly summaries can be found at the end of the selections and results section while later less detailed summaries can be seen at the end of each month.

Monthly Performance

January 2015

18/1/15

A message from the Vendor;

Firstly I’d like to apologise for the start we have had to the service since January 1st. Unfortunately BotN has experienced a correction phase at just the wrong time, up until the launch date on January 1st SHG in particular was on an excellent run of 16/17 winners and averaged around +15pts per month during testing.

While we will be trading numerous leagues worldwide you will find that we will have a good amount of selections from 3 countries in particular – England, Holland and Germany. These have all worked brilliantly for me over the past year or two and historically provide the best opportunities for winning trades. Under the old SHG strategy it was very rare indeed that we were able to trade Dutch and German fixtures due to the high lay prices but this system gives us a lot more options in those leagues. The lower lay prices are obviously very much in our favour whether laying to flat stakes or fixed liabilities. I am operating tighter filters for all other leagues worldwide and I know this will serve us well over the long term.

FHG: No Qualifiers

SHG: 11.30am – Italy Serie A – Lazio vs Napoli – 4.5 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

(Match P&L: -£35.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

11.30am – Netherlands Eredivisie – Willem II vs Go Ahead Eagles – 5.0 (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

(Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Feyenoord vs Twente – 4.7 (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1)

(Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.27 to fixed £40 liabilities)

1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Utrecht vs Heerenveen – DNQ due to HT lay price over 5.1

4.00pm – England Premier League – Manchester City vs Arsenal – DNQ due to IP stats

5.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Westerlo vs Standard Liege – 4.6 (HT 1-1) (FT 1-1)

(Match P&L: -£36.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities)

That’s the previous seven months profits gone and some!

Current January 2015 P&L: -£90.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£122.53 to fixed £40 liabilities

17/1/15

FHG: No Qualifiers

SHG: 3.00pm – England Premier League – QPR vs Manchester United – 4.3 (HT 0-0) (FT 0-2)

(Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£11.52 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

3.00pm – England Championship – Millwall vs Ipswich Town – DNQ due to 3 first half goals

3.00pm – England League One – MK Dons vs Sheffield United – DNQ due to IP stats

3.00pm – England League One – Port Vale vs Peterborough United – 4.5 (HT 1-1) (FT 2-1)

(Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.86 to fixed £40 liabilities)

3.00pm – England League One – Scunthorpe United vs Bristol City – DNQ due to IP stats

3.00pm – England Conference Premier – FC Halifax Town vs Eastleigh – Match Postponed

3.00pm – England Conference Premier – Nuneaton vs Gateshead – DNQ due to IP stats

3.30pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Volendam vs FC Oss – DNQ due to first half red card

5.30pm – England Premier League – Newcastle United vs Southampton – DNQ due to IP stats

6.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur – DNQ due to 3 first half goals

6.45pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – De Graafschap vs Emmen – DNQ due to IP stats

Current January 2015 P&L: -£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£62.33 to fixed £40 liabilities

16/1/15

FHG: 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs Jong Ajax – 4.0 (HT 0-0) (FT 1-1)

(Match P&L: -£30.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

SHG: 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Achilles 29 vs Jong PSV – DNQ due to HT lay price over 5.0

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs Jong Ajax – DNQ due to IP stats

7.45pm – Scotland Championship – Rangers vs Hearts – Match Abandoned in 1st half

Current January 2015 P&L: -£57.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£84.71 to fixed £40 liabilities

13/1/15

FHG: No Qualifiers

SHG: 7.45pm Conference Premier – Dartford vs FC Halifax Town – DNQ due to 1st half red card

Current January 2015 P&L: -£27.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£44.71 to fixed £40 liabilities

11/1/15

SHG: 11.30am – Italy Serie A – Inter vs Genoa – 6.0 DNQ due to IP stats 3.00pm Conference North – Worcester City vs Bradford Park Avenue – 6.0 DNQ due to IP stats 8.00pm – Chile Primera – Palestino vs Cobresal – 6.0 DNQ due to IP stats

Current January 2015 P&L: -£27.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£44.71 to fixed £40 liabilities

10/1/15

FHG:3.00pm – England Premier League – Everton vs Manchester City – 3.55 (HT 0-0) (FT 1-1) (Match P&L: -£25.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities)

SHG:3.00pm – England Championship – Cardiff City vs Fulham – DNQ due to IP stats 3.00pm – England League One – Barnsley vs Yeovil Town – DNQ due to 1st half red card 3.00pm – England League One – Bradford City vs Rochdale – DNQ due to 1st half red card 3.00pm – England League Two – Carlisle United vs Cambridge United – DNQ due to IP stats 5.30pm – England Premier League – Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hostpur – DNQ due to IP stats

Current January 2015 P&L: -£27.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£44.71 to fixed £40 liabilities

9/1/15

SHG: 7.45pm – England League Two – Accrington Stanley vs Bury – 5.6 (if the HT lay price is lower than the attached value figure but between 5.1 and 6.0 you should place a lay order at 5.0 and wait to be matched in-play) Postponed

4/1/15

FHG: 4.00pm – Spain Primera – Valencia vs Real Madrid – 4.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 2-1)

(Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities)

SHG: 3.00pm Conference Premier – Eastleigh vs Altrincham – Not in-play on Betfair (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)

3.00pm Conf North – Hyde FC vs Barrow – DNQ as more than 2 goals scored in first half (HT 2-2) (FT 4-4)

Current January 2015 P&L: -£1.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£4.71 to fixed £40 liabilities

3/1/15

FHG: No Qualifiers

SHG: 11.00am – Portugal Segunda Liga – Maritimo B vs SC Braga B – 4.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1) (Match P&L: -£30.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

2.00pm – Turkey Super League – Bursaspor vs Akhisa Belediye – 4.9 (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1) (Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.74 to fixed £40.00 liabilities)

3.00pm – England League Two – Dagenham & Redbridge vs Bury – 3.95 (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0) (Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.88 to fixed £40 liabilities)

Current January 2015 P&L: -£11.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£17.38 to fixed £40 liabilities

1/1/15

FHG: No Qualifiers

SHG: 3.00pm – England Conference Premier – Alfreton Town vs Lincoln City – Match Postponed

3.00pm – England Conference Premier – Woking vs Eastleigh – DNQ due to IP stats

Just to remind you of the SHG HT qualifying criteria:

– 4+ corners and 4+ shots on target between the two sides

– if only 3 corners then there must be at least 7 shots on target between the two sides (less than 2 corners is a no-trade)

– if one side is losing then they must have managed at least 1 shot on target during the first half

– if more than 2 goals have been scored then the match does not qualify

– the Betfair lay price must be at or below the figure shown in blue for each fixture (if the HT lay price is between 5.1 and 6.0 then you should place an order to lay the current score at 5.0).

December (Extended Trial) (And a change of name!)

31/12/14

“Back Of The Net“ is the new name for the FHG and SHG strategies to be launched tomorrow (January 1st 2015). While the process of trading FHG remains the same there are some alterations to the selection process for 2015. Results during testing have been very encouraging. We will be sticking mainly to the major leagues from now on and FHG will contribute nicely to BOTN’s P&L.

SHG has had a bigger re-vamp. There are no decisions to make as it’s quite clear which selections qualify at HT and which don’t.

This SHG system relies heavily on two factors – value and in-play stats. While having value on your side is great and should be enough to turn a profit I like to know that I have everything going for me in the second half. If you have value and the game is lively too then it gives you a much greater chance of making consistent and steady profits. No system in the world can promise a 100% win rate, if they could then we’d all be on our yachts sipping champagne right now and it’s important to remember that. The SHG strike rate has been around 84% in testing meaning you can expect around 16 trades in every 100 to finish without a second half goal. The benefit of this system over the last though is that the lay prices generally cover a wider range and some of those losers are likely to be at a slightly lower liability. A strike rate of 84% is more than enough to make great profits.

It’s important to stress however that taking a long-term view is essential to success. With value and in-play stats on side the SHG will thrive over the long term, however there will be losing trades and losing days along the way so make sure you are staking well within your bankroll – only ever risk 2% of your Betfair balance on any single FHG or SHG trade.

26/12/14

SHG 3.00pm – England Championship – AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham

As you will know “Back of the Net” is very close to launch and I am hoping it will become active in the next few days, certainly by January 1st 2015 at the latest it will be in full swing. For Boxing Day we will be using the current FHG system (no HT draws with either side leading at HT by no more than two goals). December has been a very tough month but the good news is that the new SHG system that will soon go live has continued to make consistent profits throughout December and I’m very glad that I will soon be offering it to you. The future is very bright and I will be sending you all a more detailed e-mail on the new strategy over the next day or two.

With regards to our only Boxing Day selection at Bournemouth it is very strong on season stats so hopefully it can provide us with some Christmas cheer tomorrow.

As I have incomplete records for the end of December I can only use the last known results for the monthly summary.

FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£9.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£26.47 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

These results do not include the end of month games; FHG 3 Games / SHG 9 Games – No idea why results were not given but as I was busy doing other things I can’t confirm the final figures but am led to believe they were disappointing!

21/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Excelsior vs Ajax – 4.0

SECOND HALF GOALS

1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Excelsior vs Ajax

20/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

6.45pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Helmond Sport vs Volendam – market not yet set, will probably be 4.0

7.45pm – Italy Serie A – Roma vs AC Milan – 3.3

SECOND HALF GOALS

3.00pm – England League One – Barnsley vs Leyton Orient – Match 1

3.30pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap – Match 2

3.30pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Eindhoven – Match 3

5.15pm – England Championship – Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United – Match 4

6.45pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Helmond Sport vs Volendam – Match 5

7.30pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Mouscron-Peruwelz vs Zulte Waregem – Match 6

7.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht

19/12/14

SECOND HALF GOALS

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Emmen vs Waalwijk – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 5-3)

* 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – FC Oss vs Jong Twente – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 4-1)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

17/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

7.00pm – Germany Bundesliga – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hertha Berlin – 3.6 – WON (HT 1-3) (FT 4-4)

Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£14.62 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£9.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£26.47 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

7.00pm – Bundesliga – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hertha Berlin – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-3) (FT 4-4)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

16/12/14

SECOND HALF GOALS

7.45pm – England Conference South – Concord Rangers vs Chelmsford City – Match Postponed

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

15/12/14

SECOND HALF GOALS

6.00pm – Turkey Super League – Trabzonspor vs Rizespor – NQ to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 3-2)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

14/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

11.30am – Eredivisie – Ajax vs Utrecht – NQ due to lay price over 5.0 at KO (HT 2-1) (FT 3-1)

3.30pm – Austria – Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna – NQ due to lay price over 5.0 at KO (HT 0-0) (FT 1-2)

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£18.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£41.09 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

1.30am – Netherlands Eredivisie- Ajax vs Utrecht – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-1) (FT 3-1)

3.30pm – Austria Bundesliga – Red Bull Salzburg vs Rapid Vienna – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-2)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

13/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

2.30pm – Germany Bundesliga – FC Schalke 04 vs FC Koln – 3.2 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 1-2)

P&L: -£22.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Frustrating one this as the first of three goals arrived in the 47th minute!

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£18.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£41.09 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

3.00pm – Brentford vs Blackburn Rovers – Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 3-1)

3.00pm – Leeds United vs Fulham – Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

5.00pm – Turkey Super League – Kasimpasa vs Eskisehirspor – 4.9 – LOST (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: -£39.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£50.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

12/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Emmen vs Volendam – 4.0 – WON (HT 2-0) (FT 4-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = +£3.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£1.09 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

6.00pm – Turkey Super League – Fenerbahce vs Sivasspor – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 3-1) (FT 4-1)

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Emmen vs Volendam – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-0) (FT 4-1)

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Jong PSV vs Almere City – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs Den Bosch – Not in-play on Betfair (HT 1-1) (FT 1-2)

7.30pm – Bundesliga – 1899 Hoffenheim vs Eintracht Frankfurt – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 3-2)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£5.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£10.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

7/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

3.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Vitesse vs Twente – 3.8 – WON (HT 2-1) (FT 2-2)

Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£13.57 to fixed £40 liabilities

4.30pm – Germany Bundesliga – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen – 4.0 – WON (HT 1-1) (FT 5-2)

Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£6.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£13.76 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

1.30pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Club Brugge vs Zulte Waregem – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 2-1)

Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Utrecht vs Heracles – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 2-4)

1.30pm – Dutch Jupiler League – Sparta Rotterdam vs Emmen – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 3-0)

4.30pm – Germany  – Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 5-2)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£5.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£10.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

6/12/14

SECOND HALF GOALS

3.00pm – England Conference North – Gainsborough vs Barrow – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)

3.00pm – Scotland Championship – Rangers vs Cowdenbeath – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

5.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Mouscron Peruwelz vs Anderlecht – 5.0 – WON (HT 3-1) (FT 4-2)

Match P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

5.30pm – Netherland Eredivisie – AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 2-0)

7.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Ajax vs Willem II – NQ due to 4-0 HT scoreline (HT 4-0) (FT 5-0)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£15.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£20.23 to fixed £40 liabilities

5/12/14

SECOND HALF GOALS

5.00pm – Poland Ekstraklasa – Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Slask Wroclaw – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£24.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£29.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

2/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

7.45pm – England Conference North – Stockport County vs AFC Fylde – 3.5 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

P&L: -£25.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for December 2014 = -£25.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

SECOND HALF GOALS

7.45pm – England League One – Barnsley vs Doncaster Rovers – 4.7 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.27 to fixed £40 liabilities

8.00pm – England Premier League – West Bromwich Albion vs West Ham United – 4.4 – LOST (HT 1-2) (FT 1-2)

P&L: -£34.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for December 2014 = -£24.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£29.73 to fixed £40 liabilities

1/12/14

FIRST HALF GOALS

gAht (goals After half time) gA45.(goal After 45 Minutes) (Only play if between 1 and 3 goals have been scored in first half) 19:00-Netherlands-Eerste Divisie Roda vs Fc Oss (0.5 Point) Not matched at minimum price. Total Profit Today +£00.00 Total Profit for December +£00.00

November

A sudden end to the trial leaves;

FHG November;          -£17.00 to flat £10 stakes,   -£21.26 to fixed £40 liabilities.

FHG October;             +£23.50 to flat £10 stakes,   +£38.01 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG September;        -£13.00 to flat £10 stakes,   -£26.90 to fixed £40 liabilities

So over the 3 month trial; -£6.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£10.15 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG November;         -£73.50 to flat £10 stakes,   -£90.62 to fixed £40 liabilities.

SHG October;            +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG September;       No Qualifying bets!

So over the 3 month trial; -£35.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£52.38 to fixed £40 liabilities

Despite the hard work of the tipster these Autumn trials have failed to produce a profit but nor have they bust the bank! The summer months of June to August performed much better with less selections! If this style of betting is suited to you there is no doubt the vendor works hard to provide selections.

23/11/14

FHG 7.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem – 3.4 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 3-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£15.83 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for November 2014 = -£17.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£21.26 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – PEC Zwolle vs Twente – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 2-2)

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands  – Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Oss – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-2)

SHG 3.30pm  Sturm Graz vs Red Bull Salzburg – Qualifier at 5.0 but unmatched before SHG (HT 0-1) (FT 1-2)

SHG 3.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Utrecht vs Cambuur – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-3)

SHG 7.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 3-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£73.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£90.62 to fixed £40 liabilities

22/11/14

FHG 3.00pm – England League One – Peterborough United vs Swindon Town – 3.35 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 1-2)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£16.17 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG 7.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Lokeren vs Westerlo – 4.0 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

P&L: -£30.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40.00 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for November 2014 = -£26.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£37.09 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – Austria Bundesliga – SV Grodig vs Rapid Vienna – 5.0 – WON (HT 2-1) (FT 3-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £40 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – England Championship – Watford vs Derby County – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 1-2)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.30pm – Netherlands – Achilles 29 vs Helmond Sport – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-1) (FT 3-2)

SHG 5.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

SHG 7.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Lokeren vs Westerlo – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 =  -£83.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£100.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

21/11/14

SHG 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs Emmen – Not in-pLAY on Betfair (HT 0-1) (FT 1-3)

SHG 7.45pm – England Championship – Brentford vs Fulham – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-1)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£102.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£119.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

15/11/14

FHG 3.00pm – England League One – Swindon Town vs Bristol City – 3.5 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: -£25.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

A very early red card for the leaders unfortunately caused problems as Bristol City effectively shut up shop in an attempt to earn a point from the game.

Current FHG P&L for November 2014 = -£6.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£13.26 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – England League One – Swindon Town vs Bristol City – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

SHG3.00pm – England League One – Port Vale vs Rochdale – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

SHG 3.00pm – England League Two – AFC Wimbledon vs Dagenham & Redbridge – 4.7 – LOST (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: -£37.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£102.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£119.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

9/11/14

SHG 12.45pm – Swiz Super League – FC Aarau vs FC Aarau – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

SHG 1.30pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Gent vs Anderlecht – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Dordrecht vs Twente – NQ due to 0-4 HT scoreline (HT 0-4) (FT 0-4)

SHG 3.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Heracles vs PSV – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-2)

SHG 5.15pm – Spain Segunda – Racing Santander vs Mallorca – 4.0 – LOST (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

P&L: –£30.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7.00pm – Chile Primera – Nublense vs Cobresal – NQ due to 2-2 HT scoreline (HT 2-2) (FT 2-3)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£65.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£79.12  to fixed £40 liabilities

8/11/14

FHG 3.00pm – Scotland Championship – Hearts vs Raith Rovers – Unmatched before FHG (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

FHG 7.00pm – Belgium Division 2 – Seraing United vs Aalst – 4.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for November 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£26.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – Premier League – Manchester United vs C Palace – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

SHG 6.45pm – Netherlands Jupiler – De Graafschap vs S Rotterdam – NQ due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 3-2)

SHG 7.00pm – Belgium Division 2 – Seraing United vs Aalst – 5.0 – LOST (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: -£40.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7. 30pm – Poland Ekstraklasa – Wisla Krakow vs Slask Wroclaw – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 1-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7.45pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£44.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£48.62 to fixed £40 liabilities

7/11/14

SHG 7.00pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Excelsior vs Utrecht – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 2-2)

SHG 7.00pm – Jupiler League – Almere City vs Den Bosch – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-1)

SHG 7.00pm – Jupiler League – FC Oss vs Jong Ajax – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-2) (FT 1-4)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£14.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£18.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

4/11/14

SHG 7.45pm – League One – Swindon Town vs Preston North End – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£14.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£18.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

October 2014 = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

2/11/14

SHG 11.00am – Spain Segunda – Osasuna vs Betis – 4.8 – WON (HT 0-2) (FT 3-2)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 11.30am – Netherlands Eredivisie – FC Utrecht vs Vitesse – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 3-1)

* 1.00pm – Germany 3. Liga – Preussen Munster vs MSV Duisburg – 4.3 – LOST (HT 1-0) (FT 1-0)

P&L: -£33.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivisie – Willem II vs Cambuur – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-1)

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Eredivise – Achilles 29 vs Roda – NQ  due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-4)

SHG 3.30pm – Austria Bundesliga – SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 2-0)

A disappointing Sunday for us as a real stat-buster in Germany brought to an end SHG’s 11-match winning streak. It was just SHG’s 2nd loss in 27 games so we can’t really complain too much. The blow was softened somewhat by a comfortable earlier winner at Osasuna. Unfortunately all three Dutch fixtures were level at HT while the Austrian trade was two ticks too expensive at HT.

Plenty of time to turn it around this month, the only figure that matters is the final P&L on 30th November so onwards and upwards.

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = -£14.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£18.12 to fixed £40 liabilities

1/11/14

FHG 3.00pm – England League One – Peterborough United vs Scunthorpe United – 3.7 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 1-2)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£14.07 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for November 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£14.07 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – England League One – Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

SHG 3.30pm – Jupiler League – Den Bosch vs FC Oss – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

SHG 5.30pm – Red Bull Salzburg vs Admira Wacker – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-0) (FT 2-0)

SHG 6.45pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Waalwijk vs Almere City – NQ due to 0-4 HT scoreline (HT 0-4) (FT 1-4)

SHG 7.15pm – Argentina Primera – Godoy Cruz vs Belgrano Cordoba – 4.2 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-3)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£11.88 to fixed £40 liabilities

The winner at Godoy Cruz was SHG’s 24th profit from it’s last 25 trades.

Current SHG P&L for November 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£11.88 to fixed £40 liabilities

October

31/10/14

SHG 7.30pm – Belgium Division 2 – OH Leuven vs Seraing United – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-2) (FT 0-3)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

Final SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

30/10/14

SHG 7.30pm – Belgium Jupiler League – Mouscron-Peruwelz vs Club Brugge – 5.0 – Unmatched before SHG on 50′ (HT 0-1) (FT 1-4)

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£28.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£28.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

28/10/14

SHG 7.45pm – England League One – Chesterfield vs Swindon Town – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-2) (FT 0-3)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for October 2014  = +£28.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£28.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

26/10/14

FHG 10.00am – Japan J-League – Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Reds – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)

FHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – NEC Nijmegen vs FC Oss – NQ due to lay price over 5.0 at KO (HT 0-0) (FT 3-1)

FHG P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£15.83 to fixed £40 liabilities

NOTE: Just a quick reminder that each individual trader is responsible for checking the lay prices pre-KO. FHG is an incredibly simple system and not at all time-consuming. If you are able to log in just before KO and place your bet then I’d advise doing that, if you live in a time zone that prevents you from doing that then just place a “kept” order at my suggested lay price. There will be very few trades that I select which end up being above 5.0 by KO and even those that do will only be a couple of ticks above at most (and therefore you will still be matched pretty quickly in-play).

FINAL OCTOBER FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£23.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.01 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 1.30pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – NEC Nijmegen vs FC Oss – NQ due to 0-0 HT lay price (HT 0-0) (FT 3-1)

SHG 7.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Brann – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-0) (FT 2-1)

18 selections; 2 wins 16 non-qualifiers! Despite the major leagues being well under way this strategy is obviously problematic as there have only been 2 actual selections albeit both winners!

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

25/10/14

FHG 7.15pm – Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga – Slovacko vs Plzen – 3.6 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

P&L: -£26.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£14.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£22.18 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm  League One – Barnsley vs Bristol City – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 2-2)

SHG 3.00pm  League One – Swindon Town vs Colchester United – NQ due to poor liquidity/large gaps in the market (HT 1-0) (FT 2-2)

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

24/10/14

FHG 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Emmen vs Jong Twente – 4.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-0)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs FC Eindhoven – 4.0 – WON (HT 0-2) (FT 0-5)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Double Dutch for us tonight as two winners in Holland added more profit to the October P&L.

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£40.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£62.18 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 5.30pm – Austria Erste Liga – FAC Team Fur Wien vs SV Mattersburg – NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 2-2)

SHG 7.00pm – Netherlands Jupiler League – Telstar vs FC Eindhoven – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-2) (FT 0-5)

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

21/10/14

FHG 7.45pm – England League One – Swindon Town vs Rochdale – 3.45 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 2-3)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£15.51 to fixed £40 liabilities

Swindon’s opener on 35 minutes gives a decent profit on the night.

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£21.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£36.84 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7.45pm – England League One – Swindon Town vs Rochdale

SHG P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

19/10/14

SHG 8.00pm – USA MLS – New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-2) (FT 1-3)

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

18/10/14

FHG 3.00pm – England League One – Preston North End vs Port Vale – 3.75 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 2-0)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£13.82 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG 3.00pm – England League Two – Stevenage vs Accrington Stanley – 3.4 – WON (HT 1-1) (FT 2-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£15.83 to fixed £40 liabilities

5.00pm – Poland Ekstraklasa – Jagiellonia vs Pogon Szczecin – 3.45 – WON (HT 3-0) (FT 5-0)

FHG P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£15.51 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£11.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£21.33 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 3.00pm – Austria Bundesliga – Red Bull Salzburg vs Ried – Non-qualifier due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-1) (FT 4-2)

SHG 3.00pm – England League One – Leyton Orient vs MK Dons – Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT lay price (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

SHG 5.00pm – Belgium Jupiler League – KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

At last! A SHG qualifier and a winner!

Current SHG P&L for October 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

17/10/14

SHG 7.30pm – Poland Ekstraklasa – Legia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk – NQ due to 0-0 HT lay price (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

12/10/14

SHG 8.00pm – Argentina Primera – Independiente vs Defensa Y. Justicia  NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-1)

8/10/14

SHG 7.45pm -Conference Premier – AFC Telford United vs Forest Green Rovers NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

SHG 7.45pm -Conference South – Bishop’s Stortford vs Bromley NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline & not in-play on Betfair (HT 1-1) (FT 1-1)

7/10/14

FHG 7.45pm – England Conference Premier – AFC Telford United vs Forest Green Rovers – 3.65 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

P&L: -£26.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = -£17.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£23.83 to fixed £40 liabilities

5/10/14

SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Sarpsborg vs Stromsgodset – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Stabaek NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)

4/10/14

FHG 1.00pm – Germany 3. Liga – Arminia Bielefeld vs Dynamo Dresden  3.35 – WON (HT 3-1) (FT 4-1) 8′ goal

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£16.17 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for October 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£16.17 to fixed £40 liabilities

1/10/14

FHG 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Warriors FC vs Balestier Khalsa FC – NQ due to poor market liquidity and lay price over 5.0 (HT 0-0) (FT 0-1)

September

30/9/14

FHG 7.45pm – England Conference Premier – Lincoln City vs Gateshead – 3.25 – LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 1-1)

P&L: -£22.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Final FHG P&L for September 2014 = -£13.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£26.90 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7.45pm – England Conference Premier – AFC Telford United vs Chester NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-2)

It’s been a bizarre month – there have never been so many games not qualifying at HT – Not one selection qualified! However there will be a much bigger pool of fixtures to work with from here on meaning high quality trades and therefore many more opportunities to make great profits with value on our side!

27/9/14

FHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Bodo Glimt – 4.0 – NQ due to 5.2 starting lay price (HT 1-0) (FT 2-1)

SHG 10.00am – Japan J-League – Omiya Ardija vs Shimizu S-Pulse Unmatched before SHG (HT 1-0) (FT 2-1)

SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Bodo Glimt  NQ due to HT lay price over 5.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 2-1).

26/9/14

FHG 5.30pm – Sweden Superettan – Osters vs Landskrona Bois – 3.9 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1) WON (A qualifier at last)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£13.10 to fixed £40 liabilities

A 41st minute goal for the hosts gave us a winning trade in Sweden.

Current FHG P&L for September 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£13.10 to fixed £40 liabilities

21/9/14

SHG 5.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Keflavik vs Fylkir – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Aalesund vs Stabaek – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 3-0)

20/9/14

The first qualifier of the month!!! Fort Knox Filters!!

FHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – GAIS vs Landskrona Bois  NQ as market liquidity unsuitable for trade (HT 1-1) (FT 2-1)

SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Stromsgodset NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (HT 0-4)

19/9/14

SHG 5.30pm – Austria Erste Liga – FAC Team Fur Wien vs FC Liefering NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-1) (FT 2-2)

18/9/14

SHG 6.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Vikingur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 0-1)

15/9/14

SHG 6.05pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Helsingborg vs AIK NQ due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 3-1)

14/9/14

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Start vs Stabaek NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-3)

SHG 6.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur Reykjavik NQ due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-1)

12/9/14

SHG 6.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Rosenborg vs Bodo Glimt NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 3-1)

31/8/14

SHG 2.00pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – IFK Norrkoping vs AIK – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 2-4) +0.95PTS

SHG 7.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Breidablik vs Fylkir – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-1) (FT 2-2)

SHG 7.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 2-4) +0.95PTS

The good run of form continues with another 2 profits making it 19 winners from our the last 20 trades.

Daily P/L; 1.9PTS  Aug P/L; 4.75pts Trial P/L; +11.2PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£47.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

30/8/14

FHG 7.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Valerenga – 4.0 – WON =0.95pts FG 10′ (HT 2-2) (FT 4-3)

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Aug P/L;  +2.7pts Trial P/L; +9.75PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = +£27.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£37.17 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 7.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Valerenga – NQ due to 2-2 HT scoreline (HT 2-2) (FT 4-3)

SHG 9.30pm – Peru Primera – Juan Aurich vs Universitario – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 2-0) 64′ +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  Aug P/L; 2.85pts Trial P/L; +9.3PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£28.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£28.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

25/8/14

SHG 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Jonkopings Sodra vs Syrianska – NQ as HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 4-0)

SHG 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Landskrona Bois vs Degerfors – NQ as 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-0)

That’s 15 consecutive NQ’s for this strategy! 17 selections made! 2 winners!

24/8/14

SHG 6.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri – NQ as 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 2-0)

23/8/14

FHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Valerenga vs Brann – 4.0 WON (HT 2-1) (FT 3-3) 10′ goal +0.95pts

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Aug P/L;  +1.75pts Trial P/L; +8.8PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = +£17.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£24.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Valerenga vs Brann  NQ as HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-1) (FT 3-3)

19/8/14

FHG 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Warriors FC vs Courts Young Lions FC – 4.0 – WON (HT 3-1) (FT  4-1) Goal 6′

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Aug P/L;  +0.8pts Trial P/L; +7.85PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = +£8.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£11.83 to fixed £40 liabilities

18/8/14

FHG 8.15pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 3-0)

Daily P/L; -3.0PTS  Aug P/L;  -0.15pts Trial P/L; +6.9PTS

P&L: -£30.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = -£1.50 to flat £10 stakes, –£0.84 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Syrianska vs Landskrona Bois NQ HT lay price over 6.0 HT 1-0 FT 1-0  (escaped!)

SHG 8.15pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 3-0)

17/8/14

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Adeccoligaen – Strommen vs Bryne – Match 1 NQ NOT INPLAY

SHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – GIF Sundsvall vs Osters Unmatched before 47′ goal

14/8/14

FHG 7.30pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan  HT 0-1 42′  FT 1-2 +0.95pts

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +9.9PTS  Aug P/L;  +2.85pts

FHG P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = +£28.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£39.16 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 6.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Start vs Stromsgodset  HT 1-2 FT 2-3 NQ as HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-2) (FT 2-3)

Daily P/L; N/A  Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

13/8/14

SHG 6.00pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Malmo vs Orebro NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 0-2) (FT 3-2)

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

11/8/14

SHG 6.00pm – Norway Adeccoligaen – Fredrikstad vs Mjondalen – NQ due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

10/8/14

SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Stabaek – NQ due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-0) (FT 2-2)

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Rosenborg vs Start – NQ due to 2-2 HT scoreline and lay price over 6.0 (HT 2-2) (FT 3-2)

The run of NQ’s continues!

Daily P/L; N/A  Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Stabaek – 4.0 WON (HT 2-0) (FT 2-2) +0.95pts

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

FHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs GIF Sundsvall – 3.75 WON (HT 0-2) (FT 2-2) +0.95pts

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£13.82 to fixed £40 liabilities

Two more winners in Norway and Sweden and the first for August as FHG makes it 13 winners from the last 14 selections.

Daily P/L; +1.9PTS  Trial P/L; +8.95PTS  Aug P/L;  +1.9pts

Current FHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£26.49 to fixed £40 liabilities

9/8/14

SHG 11.00am – Japan J-League – Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers – Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 2-3)

Daily P/L; N/A  Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

8/8/14

SHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – IK Sirius vs Degerfors – Non-qualifier due to HT lay price over 6.0 (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1)

The above fixture was unfortunately too expensive to be considered for SHG at HT. A shame as a second half equaliser would have meant a winning trade.

Daily P/L; N/A  Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

4/8/14

SHG 6.05pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – IFK Goteborg vs AIK – 5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2) +0.95pts

A 16th winner from the last 17 selections for SHG as a second goal for AIK against the ten man hosts gave  another profit.

Daily P/L; +0.95pts  Aug P/L; 1.9pts Trial P/L; +8.35PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£19.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£19.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

3/8/14

SHG 2.00pm – Norway Adeccoligaen – Strommen vs Sandefjord – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 1-1) +0.95pts

SHG 6.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Stabaek vs Rosenborg – Non-qualifier due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 4-1)

Back to winning ways after SHG’s 14-match winning run came to end in Sweden earlier in the week. The price was borderline at 6.0. It was layed at 5.0 and was matched quickly in the second half. The leaders equaliser just after the hour meant a winning trade.

Daily P/L; +0.95pts  Aug P/L; 0.95pts Trial P/L; +7.4PTS

Current SHG P&L for August 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

2/8/14

SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona Bois  HT 1-1  FT 3-2  NQ (level at HT +Betfair removed it from inplay list)

———————————————–

28/7/14

FHG 6.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Assyriska – 3.6  HT 1-1 17′ +0.95PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +7.05PTS  July P/L;  +2.3pts

An 11th FHG winner from our last 12 games in Sweden with the hosts taking the lead in the 17th minute.

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£23.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£24.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG – 6.05pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Hacken vs Djurgarden HT 2-1 FT 2-1  -4PTS

Daily P/L; -4.0pts  July P/L; 0.75pts Trial P/L; +6.45PTS    Most of Julys profit extinguished – such is the laying game!

P&L: -£40.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed £40 liabilities

An injury-time penalty miss saw SHG’s winning run of 14 matches come to an end in Sweden. In truth the trade really should have been won before then but neither team was able to capitalise on a host of chances in the second half.

Despite the loss both SHG (and its sister strategy FHG) remain in profit for the month.

Current SHG P&L for July = +£7.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£7.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

27/7/14

FHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Rosenborg – 4.0 WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities – a 10th winner from the last 11 games.

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +6.1PTS  July P/L;  +1.35pts

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£13.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.08 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Rosenborg – Match 1 – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1)

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

A 14th winner in a row for SHG! With the HT price to lay U1.5 goals at 6.0 I layed 1-0 at 5.0 and was matched early in the second half. Molde doubled their lead on 55 minutes to secure another winning trade.

Current SHG P&L for July = +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£47.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 6.00pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Fjolnir vs Thor Akureyri – Match 2 – Non-qualifier due to 3-0 HT scoreline (HT 3-0) (FT 4-1)

Daily P/L; +0.95pts  July P/L; 4.75pts Trial P/L; +10.45PTS

26/7/14

SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Varbergs vs Degerfors Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 0-0)

Daily P/L; N/A  July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS

23/7/14

SHG 11.30am – Japan J-League – Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (HT 1-1) (FT 1-1)

Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

Daily P/L; N/A  July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS

21/7/14

SHG 8.15pm – Iceland Urvalsdeild – Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fjolnir  Non-qualifier due to 0-0 HT scoreline (HT 0-0) (FT 1-0)

Daily P/L; N/A  July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS

Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

20/7/14

FHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Osters – 3.8  HT 2-0 FG 11′ +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +5.15PTS  July P/L;  +0.4pts

+£14.07 to fixed £40 liabilities

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£4.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£0.59 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 2.00pm – Sweden Allsvenskan – Falkenbergs FF vs AIK – Match 1 HT 1-0 FT 4-1 (53′) +0.95PTS +£9.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG 5.20pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Osters – Match 2 HT 2-0 FT 3-0 59′ +0.95PTS +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG6.00pm – Iceland Premier – IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Fram – Match 3  HT 1-0 FT 2-0 92′  +0.95PTS +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

Daily P/L; 2.85PTS  July P/L; 3.8pts Trial P/L; +9.5PTS

SHG’s winning run goes on as a full house on Sunday made it 13 winners in a row! Let’s hope we can continue for a little while yet and keep up this fantastic form!

Current SHG P&L for July = +£38.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£38.24 to fixed £40 liabilities

19/7/14

SHG 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Landskrona Bois v IFK Varnamo Not In-Play So No Trade HT 0-1 FT 3-1

Frustratingly the above selection wasn’t put in-play on Betfair and so we missed out on what would have been another easy profit for SHG depending on HT lay price.

13/7/14

FHG 4.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Valerenga vs Rosenborg – 3.8

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities

A nice early winner for us in Norway with the visitors taking the lead in the 5th minute. Great to quickly get back to winning ways after the loss at Bodo Glimt on Saturday.

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +4.2PTS  July P/L;  -0.55pts

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = -£5.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£14.66 to fixed 400% liabilities

SHG 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Haugesund vs Stabaek

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  July P/L; 0.95pts Trial P/L; +6.65PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities

SHG continued its sensational form with a 10th winner in a row in Norway thanks to the home side doubling their lead in the 58th minute.

Current SHG P&L for July = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities

12/7/14

FHG 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo Glimt vs Odd – 3.45 LOST (HT 0-0) (FT 0-3)

Daily P/L; -2.45PTS  Trial P/L; +3.25PTS  July P/L;  -1.5pts

P&L: -£24.50 to flat £10 stakes, -£40.00 to fixed 400% liabilities

A very frustrating loss in Norway where 19 first half shots between the two teams failed to produce the goal that we needed. Shooting boots were very much found in the second half as three goals were scored after HT but it was too little too late for us on this occasion. The loss brought to an end a run of 7 straight winners for FHG.

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = -£15.00 to flat £10 stakes, -£27.33 to fixed 400% liabilities

6/7/14

SHG; 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Start vs Lillestro  Non-qualifier 1-1 HT (FT 3-1)

5/7/14

FHG; 2.30pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Molde vs Sogndal – 4.0  HT 2-0  +0.95pts

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +5.7PTS  July P/L;  +0.95pts

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities

Current FHG P&L for July 2014 = +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed £40 liabilities

SHG; 10.00am – Japan J2 League – Matsumoto Yamaga vs Avispa Fukuoka  Non-qualifier due to 1-1 HT scoreline (FT 2-1)

There is currently no July P&L for SHG this month as yet due to the very sparse fixture list. The Swedish Allsvenskan and Norwegian Tippeligaen have returned this weekend though and the Japanese J-League will soon follow on 15th July. Plenty to look forward to from here on!

————————————————————

29/6/14

Two winners in Sweden with Hammarby continuing their record of scoring a second half goal in every away game so far. In the other trade at Syrianska the second goal arrived just a minute after the lay price hit 5.0 which was a little fortunate. No selections for Monday

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 1.45pm – Sweden Superettan – Osters vs Hammarby – 4.6 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)  +0.95pts

(P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£10.56 to fixed 400% liabilities)

SHG; 2.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile vs IK Sirius – Non-qualifier due to HT scoreline (HT 0-0, FT 1-0)

SHG; 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Syrianska vs Degerfors – 5.0 – WON (HT 1-0) (FT 3-1) +0.95pts

(P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilities)

Daily P/L; 1.9PTS  Trial P/L; +5.7PTS

Current SHG P&L for June = +£57 to flat £10 stakes, +£58.06 to fixed 400% liabilities

26/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Degerfors vs Osters – Match 1  Non-qualifier due to Betfair market suspension (HT 0-1) (FT 0-2)

SHG;  6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Jonkopings Sodra vs Hammarby – Match 2  5.0 – WON (HT 0-1) (FT 0-4)

Unfortunately a suspended market at Degerfors prevented that fixture from qualifying for SHG (price permitting). A shame as it would have been a winning trade but at least Hammarby kept up their 100% second half away scoring record this season to give us a profit on the day.

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +3.8PTS

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed £40 liabilities Current SHG P&L for June = +£38 to flat £10 stakes, +£38 to fixed £40 liabilities

24/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Home United FC vs Woodlands Wellington FC  HT 0-0 FT 0-0 NQ

22/6/14

FHG; 1.45pm – Singapore S-League – Harimau Muda vs DPMM FC – 4.0  FG 10′  Poor Liquidity so lay cancelled!

FHG; 5.15pm – Sweden Superettan – Angelholms vs Landskrona – 3.6  FG 2′ Poor liquidity but enough to take on. +0.95pts

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +4.75PTS

* Sunday 22nd – Sweden Superettan – Angelholms vs Landskrona – 4.0 – WON (HT 1-0) A change in the lay odds and a goal in the first 2 minutes but as I was unable to monitor I will include the vendors reported result. P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities

FHG P&L for June 2014 = +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£65.92 to fixed 400% liabilities.

SHG; 2.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile vs Syriansaka – Match 1  2-0 HT 5-1 FT  51′ NQ due to lay price over 6.0

SHG; 3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – GIF Sundsvall vs IK Sirius – Match 2  0-2 HT  1-2 FT 79′  5.0 – (HT 0-2, FT 1-2)  WON +0.95PTS

SHG P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£9.50 to fixed 400% liabilitiesCurrent SHG P&L for June = +£28.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£28.50 to fixed 400% liabilities.

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +2.85PTS

21/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 10.00am – Japan J2 League – FC Gifu vs V-Varen Nagasaki   HT 1-1 FT 1-1  No Bet

20/6/14

FHG; 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Balestier Khalsa FC vs Home United FC – 4.0  FG 10′ +0.95pts

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +3.8PTS

SHG; No Selections

P&L: +£9.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£12.67 to fixed 400% liabilities

19/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Tampines Rovers vs Hougang United  HT 1-0  FT 1-1 (62′) WON +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +3.8PTS

18/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 6.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Husqvarna FF vs Degerfors IF  HT 0-2 FT 0-3  87′  WON+0.95PTS

Daily P/L; 0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +1.9PTS

15/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 2.00pm – Norway Adeccoligaen – Kristiansund vs Mjondalen; with the score 0-0 at HT this was a non-qualifier for SHG.

“A stoppage-time goal for both sides meant this trade would have (just about!) been a winner had it been traded, not a problem though as although we have missed winners over the past couple of months we have also avoided potentially costly losers too which long-term subscribers will have noticed. Missing winners used to annoy me a lot but now I don’t even bat an eyelid, nothing is lost by not trading a game you consider not good enough for selection regardless of whether it goes on to have a second half goal. The filters are working well and SHG is +20.5pts in profit over the past 56 trades since the final tweaks were made to the strategy. This is a frustrating time of year as it is every season but it won’t be long before we’re right back in the swing of things with lots of selections each week!”

Daily P/L; N/A  Trial P/L; +0.95PTS

12/6/14

13/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG; 12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Hougang United vs Home United  HT 1-1 FT 3-1 NQ

Daily P/L; N/A  Trial P/L; +0.95PTS

12/6/14

FHG; 5.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Bodo/Glimt vs Molde – 4.0    0-1  15′   +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +2.85PTS

SHG; No Selections

10/6/14 – 11/6/14 No selections

9/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG;

12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Courts Young Lions vs Geylang International – Match 1  HT 0-0 FT 0-0 NQ

6.00pm – Norway Tippeligaen – Rosenborg vs Lillestrom – Match 2  HT 1-0 CS Lay was 5.6 @ HT Hit 5.0 on 50′  1-1 @55′ +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; +0.95PTS  Trial P/L; +0.95PTS

8/6/14

FHG;

12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Balestier Khalsa FC vs Albirex Niigata FC – 4.0  HT 0-1  20′  +0.95PTS

5.15pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Landskrona – 4.0  HT  1-0  28′  +0.95PTS

Daily P/L; +1.9pts  Trial P/L; +1.9pts

SHG;

12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Hougang United vs Warriors FC – Match 1  HT 1-1  FT 3-2 NQ

5.15pm – Sweden Superettan – Hammarby vs Landskrona – Match 2  HT 1-0 FT 4-0  68′ HT lay price just above 6.0 so no trade

Daily P/L; +0PTS  Trial P/L; +0PTS

7/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG;

3.00pm – Sweden Superettan – Ljungskile vs Degerfors – Match 1  HT 0-0 FT 2-2  NQ

6/6/14  No Selections

5/6/14

FHG; No Selections

SHG;

12.30pm – Singapore S-League – Albirex Niigata vs Hougang United – Match 1  HT 0-0 FT 0-1 NQ

1.45pm – Singapore S-League – Harimau Muda vs Warriors FC – Match 2  HT 2-4 FT 2-4  HT lay price above 6.0 so no trade

Daily P/L; 0pts Trial P/L; opts

2/6/14 – 4/6/14  No Selections

1/6/14

FHG;

9.00pm – Paraguay Apertura – Club Nacional vs 3 De Febrero – Match 1  HT 0-0 FT 0-0 Poor liquidity – No trade

Daily P/L; 0pts  Trial P/L; opts

SHG;

11.00am – Japan J2 League – FC Gifu vs Kyoto Sanga – Match 1  HT 0-0 FT 2-1  NQ

5.00pm – Norway Division One – Bryne vs Strommen – Match 2  HT 1-2 FT 1-4 51′ Unmatched

5.00pm – Norway Division One – Kristiansund vs Nest-Sotra – Match 3  HT 1-1 FT 2-1 NQ

5.00pm – Norway Division One – Ranheim vs Baerum – Match 4  HT 3-0 FT 5-0 NQ

Daily P/L; 0PTS  Trial P/L; 0PTS

Interim Analysis A

End of Month 1 (June)

FHG results for June 2014:

Qualifying Trades: 5/5 winners

Strike Rate: 100%

Average Lay Price: 3.90

P&L: +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£65.92 to fixed £40 liabilities

Qualifying Trades: 6/6 winners  Strike Rate: 100%  Average Lay Price: 4.9

P&L: +£57 to flat £10 stakes, +£58.06 to fixed £40 liabilities

A month that was very low on qualifying trades, however a decent profit was achieved which bodes well for the future. The rest of the summer leagues will re-open after the World Cup and we’re edging ever closer to the return of the winter league season 2014/15.

Interim Analysis B

End of Month 2 (July)

FHG results for July 2014:

Qualifying Trades: 5/6 winners

Strike Rate: 83.3%

Average Lay Price: 3.85

Net P&L: +£23.00 to flat £10 stakes, +£24.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

Again a month low on qualifying trades however a profit was achieved to add to the excellent returns from June. FHG is currently on a run of 11 winners from its last 12 games. We will notice more qualifiers from here on as more summer leagues have returned after their World Cup break. Some European winter leagues have started already which is great news, while it’s only a couple of weeks now until all the major leagues begin their campaigns for 2014/15.

Qualifying Trades: 5/6 winners

Strike Rate: 83.3%

Average Lay Price: 5.0

P&L: +£7.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£7.74 to fixed £40 liabilities

A frustrating end to the month with the loss in Sweden however a profit was achieved to add to the excellent returns from June.  SHG has performed well over the past 4 months making profits during a period where it is often tricky to make money as the summer leagues can often be a little inconsistent. There will be a higher volume of selections from here on as more and more leagues come into play.

Analysis for August

FHG;

Qualifying Trades: 6/7 winners ; Strike Rate: 85.7%;  Average Lay Price: 3.96

P&L: +£27.00 profit to flat £10 stakes, +£37.17 profit to fixed £40 liabilities

August was a testing month with a real lack of qualifiers. The winter season has started now and stats for all leagues across Europe are building up. Once teams hit 5 games home and away in these leagues they will be eligible for selection which should see a substantial improvement in volume from then on until the end of 2014/15. More qualifiers gives us a chance to make profits. Despite the shortage of trades in August this strategy still managed to make a profit for the month. It is reported that ‘many members use significantly higher stakes than £10 in their own personal trades (including the vendor) and will have therefore done well considering the lack of qualifiers. The summer can be a frustrating time for football traders and results are often less consistent than the winter league season so to come out of the last 3 months with profits in each is an achievement .

NOTE: Most FHG members also subscribe to SHG and therefore will have made a positive return for the month, with SHG seeing 5/5 winners for a profit of £47.50 to flat £10 stakes and £47.50 to fixed £40 liabilities. The P&L for both FHG and SHG combined amounted to +£74.50 to flat £10 stakes and +£84.67 to fixed £40 liabilities.

SHG;

Qualifying Trades: 5/5 winners; Strike Rate: 100%; Average Lay Price: 5.0

P&L: +£47.50 to flat £10 stakes, +£47.50 to fixed £40 liabilities

The vendor is currently researching a possible add-on strategy to improve SHG profitability further. This would be used in games where the lay price is over 6.0 at HT and therefore unsuitable for SHG. At the moment he is not sure how profitable this would be, the idea is based around a trend that has been noticed in recent weeks and suspect that it could work well. He is still in the early stages of research and it will need thorough testing before he considers adding it to the service.

Final Verdict

After a 3 month trial of these two services during the ‘great British summer’ both have produced a profit to flat stakes. The FHG trial P/L ends at +9.75PTS  while the SHG finished at +11.2pts to flat stakes.  This trial was to flat stakes rather than the vendors £40 liability. With the winter leagues forming there will be more selections and it will be interesting to see if this level of performance will be maintained or improved upon or indeed if it leads to losses. But based on this trial I can recommend both services. The vendor obviously works hard at making the selections and you can’t fault the effort and information provided. The strategies are dependent on your personal preference for risk as laying like this requires a good strike rate and run of winners. A run of losers would soon undo all the hard work – such is the laying game.

September Update

A very strange month! Despite the promise of more games there have been less, not helped by two international breaks! There were no qualifiers for SHG so it stays at a profit of 11.2pts. FHG had just two qualifiers with the second one losing with 1.3pts being knocked off the overall flat stake profit giving +8.45pts after 4 months.

I don’t know if the filters are too rigid but this month has been lacking all round and certainly not worth a subscription fee…let’s see what October and November brings! (See above).

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